
Should I start Johnny Mundt or Tim Patrick this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Johnny Mundt
Week 7 ยท PPR
Johnny Mundt receives the better positional matchup adjustment (0% versus -8.75%).
Forecast updated ยท PPR

RESEARCH PICK

1.6FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
THE ALTERNATIVE

Tim Patrick
WR ยท NYJStats & schedule โบ1.7FF projected
โ +0.2 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Johnny Mundt
FF1.6 FP
Boosted Trees2.6 FP
Workload1.4 FP
Monte Carloโ FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.5 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Saquon Barkley, Grant Calcaterra, Eli Stowers; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.7 targets per game.
Tim Patrick
FF1.7 FP
Boosted Trees1.0 FP
Workload2.5 FP
Monte Carlo2.7 FP
- Recent scoring average: 3.5 FP.
- The MIA defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 8.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Kene Nwangwu, Breece Hall; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 2 recorded games: 3.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Johnny Mundt
Fortified1.6
ESPN1.6
Sleeper1.9
FantasyProsโ
Johnny Mundt faces DAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.5 fantasy points.
Tim Patrick
Fortified1.7
ESPN1.5
Sleeper1.8
FantasyProsโ
Tim Patrick faces MIA in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 3.5 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 8.75%.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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