RESEARCH PICK
Drew Sample
TE ยท CINStats & schedule โบ2.4FF projected
= 0.0 vs ESPN
at BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Drew Sample or Jonnu Smith this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Drew Sample
Week 7 ยท PPR
Drew Sample averaged 1.0 targets per game across the last 3 recorded games, compared with 0.3 for Jonnu Smith. More opportunities provide another route to fantasy points.
Forecast updated ยท PPR
at BALTHE ALTERNATIVE
Jonnu Smith
TE ยท GBStats & schedule โบ2.3FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
at DETSun 4:25 PM ET
Drew Sample
FF2.4 FP
Boosted Trees2.9 FP
Workload2.0 FP
Monte Carlo2.1 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 0.8 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 0.8 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.2 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Jonnu Smith
FF2.3 FP
Boosted Trees3.0 FP
Workload1.3 FP
Monte Carlo1.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 1.0 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 1.0 FP.
- The DET defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 10%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.7 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Bo Melton; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 0.3 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Drew Sample
Fortified2.4
ESPN2.4
Sleeper3.0
FantasyProsโ
Drew Sample faces BAL in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 0.8 fantasy points.
Jonnu Smith
Fortified2.3
ESPN2.0
Sleeper2.3
FantasyProsโ
Jonnu Smith faces DET in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 1.0 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 10%.
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