
Should I start Caleb Douglas or Tez Johnson this week? Week 7 PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Tez Johnson
Week 7 ยท PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Tez Johnson after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated ยท PPR

THE ALTERNATIVE

7.4FF projected
โ +0.3 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
RESEARCH PICK

Tez Johnson
WR ยท TBStats & schedule โบ7.0FF projected
โ -1.6 vs ESPN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
Caleb Douglas
FF7.4 FP
Boosted Trees6.6 FP
Workload7.3 FP
Monte Carlo7.4 FP
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.4 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Last 2 recorded games: 5.0 targets per game.
Tez Johnson
FF7.0 FP
Boosted Trees8.4 FP
Workload7.3 FP
Monte Carlo7.4 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.9 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate up 0.1 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 4.9 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 4.0 targets and 0.4 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Baker Mayfield; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 2.0 targets per game.
Projection breakdown
Caleb Douglas
Fortified7.4
ESPN7.1
Sleeper7.6
FantasyProsโ
Caleb Douglas faces NYJ in Week 7.
Tez Johnson
Fortified7.0
ESPN8.7
Sleeper5.5
FantasyProsโ
Tez Johnson faces CAR in Week 7. Recent scoring average: 4.9 fantasy points.
Actuals, projections & playoff outlook
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