THE ALTERNATIVE
Mo Alie-Cox
TE · INDStats & schedule ›1.1FF projected
↑ +0.3 vs ESPN
at JACSun 1:00 PM ET
Should I start Mo Alie-Cox or Ray Davis this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)
THE RESEARCH PICK
Start Ray Davis
Week 8 · Half-PPR
The available paired forecasts favor Ray Davis after combining their estimates. The saved inputs do not isolate a stronger football-specific advantage, so treat this as a narrow research lean.
Forecast updated · Half-PPR
at JACRESEARCH PICK
Ray Davis
RB · BUFStats & schedule ›1.3FF projected
↓ -0.4 vs ESPN
vs BALSun 1:00 PM ET
Mo Alie-Cox
FF1.1 FP
Boosted Trees0.1 FP
Workload1.1 FP
Monte Carlo1.2 FP
- His prior three-game scoring average was 4.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 1.0 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
- Recent scoring average: 3.0 FP.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 0.0 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include Anthony Gould, Tyler Warren; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.0 targets per game.
Ray Davis
FF1.3 FP
Boosted Trees1.3 FP
Workload2.3 FP
Monte Carlo2.3 FP
- Recent scoring average: 2.6 FP.
- The BAL defensive matchup changes the FF estimate down 3.75%.
- The saved workload scenario allocates 0.9 targets and 1.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
- Return scenarios include DJ Moore; their availability can redistribute the workload.
- Last 3 recorded games: 1.3 carries per game.
Mo Alie-Cox
Fortified1.1
ESPN0.8
Sleeper0.8
Mo Alie-Cox faces JAC in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 3.0 fantasy points.
Ray Davis
Fortified1.3
ESPN1.8
Sleeper0.8
Ray Davis faces BAL in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 2.6 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast down 3.75%.
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Scoring & lineup notes
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