Should I start Justice Hill or Mike Washington Jr. this week? Week 8 Half-PPR (2026)

THE RESEARCH PICK

Start Justice Hill

Week 8 · Half-PPR

Recent scoring favors Justice Hill: 5.3 versus 3.2 FP per game. Justice Hill receives the better positional matchup adjustment (7.5% versus 0%).

Forecast updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:34 AM ET · Half-PPR

RESEARCH PICK

Justice Hill

RB · BALStats & schedule

5.8FF projected

↑ +0.2 vs ESPN

at BUF

Sun 1:00 PM ET

THE ALTERNATIVE

Mike Washington Jr.

RB · LVStats & schedule

5.4FF projected

↓ -1.0 vs ESPN

at NYJ

Sun 1:00 PM ET

Experimental research pick, not a proven win probability. This does not change either FF projection.

Justice Hill

FF5.8 FP

Boosted Trees4.8 FP

Workload6.3 FP

Monte Carlo6.3 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.8–12.3 FP

Recent scoring average: 5.3 FP.
The BUF defensive matchup changes the FF estimate up 7.5%.
The saved workload scenario allocates 3.0 targets and 2.6 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Lamar Jackson; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 1.7 carries per game.

Mike Washington Jr.

FF5.4 FP

Boosted Trees4.5 FP

Workload6.3 FP

Monte Carlo6.3 FP

Middle 80% scoring range: 1.8–12.1 FP

His prior three-game scoring average was 3.5 FP. Compared with holding recent form level with the forecast, that scoring history shifts the tree estimate down 0.4 FP. This isolates model sensitivity, not a guaranteed football outcome.
Recent scoring average: 3.2 FP.
The saved workload scenario allocates 1.0 targets and 8.2 carries. These are conditional estimates, not confirmed opportunities.
Return scenarios include Dont'e Thornton Jr., Jack Bech, Carter Runyon; their availability can redistribute the workload.
Last 3 recorded games: 6.3 carries per game.

Experimental models are research signals, not a validated tiebreaker yet. Missing saved results stay blank. No simulations or training were run for this request.

Justice Hill

Fortified5.8

ESPN5.5

Sleeper5.2

Justice Hill faces BUF in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 5.3 fantasy points. The position-specific defensive matchup adjusts the forecast up 7.5%.

Mike Washington Jr.

Fortified5.4

ESPN6.5

Sleeper5.3

Mike Washington Jr. faces NYJ in Week 8. Recent scoring average: 3.2 fantasy points.

Justice Hill projects for 5.8 points in half-PPR scoring, 0.3 more than Mike Washington Jr.. The gap is small; late injury news or your league’s scoring can change the choice. FantasyPros projections are temporarily unavailable; they are excluded from this comparison.

Updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:34 AM ET. Projections can change before kickoff.

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Scoring & lineup notes

PPR awards one point per reception; half-PPR awards 0.5; standard awards none. Custom league rules can change the result. Confirm active status, kickoff and lineup locks. Projections are estimates; completed-week scores are actuals.