Who should I pick up: Spencer Shrader or Wil Lutz?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Spencer Shrader

If both are available and you need Week 8 points, pick up Spencer Shrader over Wil Lutz: 8.8 versus 7.7 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:40 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Spencer Shrader

K · IND · vs JAC

Stats & schedule ›

8.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

86.4%rostered on ESPN+0.61 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

7.7FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

5.0%rostered on ESPN+0.09 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Spencer Shrader is the stronger immediate points option. Wil Lutz is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a K vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Spencer Shrader

Spencer Shrader projects for 8.8 Standard points against JAC this week. His recent scoring average is 11.0 FP. He is rostered in 86.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.61 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.8 FP
ESPN: 10.2 FP
Sleeper: 9.1 FP
FantasyPros: 7.6 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.9 FP
Monte Carlo: 10.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 3.2–19.2 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 7.7 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 10.3 FP. He is rostered in 5.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.09 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.7 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.5–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Spencer Shrader	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	30.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	15.8 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	102.5 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	81.9 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	41.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	32.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Spencer Shrader	Wil Lutz
Week 8	8.8 FPvs JACHigher projection	7.7 FPvs KC
Week 9	10.7 FPvs DALHigher projection	8.1 FPvs CAR
Week 10	10.9 FPvs MIAHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	10.1 FPvs HOUHigher projection	8.3 FPvs LV
Week 12	9.9 FPvs NYGHigher projection	8.6 FPvs PIT
Week 13	BYE	8.4 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 14	10.3 FPvs PHIHigher projection	8.1 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	11.0 FPvs TENHigher projection	8.1 FPvs LV
Week 16	11.0 FPvs CINHigher projection	8.4 FPvs BUF
Week 17	9.7 FPvs CLEHigher projection	8.0 FPvs NE
Week 18	10.1 FPvs JACHigher projection	8.2 FPvs LAC

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:50 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.8 FP11.1 FP

Will ReichardK · 93.2% rostered
10.1
Tyler BassK · 60.9% rostered
10.1
Chris BoswellK · 78.6% rostered
10.0
Brandon AubreyK · 96.3% rostered
9.8
Spencer ShraderK · 86.4% rostered
9.5

What about Spencer Shrader versus these pickups?

K · Week 8

Cam Little9.8projected FP

Spencer Shrader8.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Spencer Shrader8.8projected FP

Tyler Bass9.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Chris Boswell9.5projected FP

Spencer Shrader8.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Chad Ryland8.4projected FP

Spencer Shrader8.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More K pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

K · Week 8

Chris Boswell9.5projected FP

Tyler Bass9.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Cam Little9.8projected FP

Chris Boswell9.5projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Cam Little9.8projected FP

Tyler Bass9.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Cam Little9.8projected FP

Will Reichard9.2projected FP