Who should I pick up: Matt Gay or Nick Folk?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

Too close for a points-only pickup

Matt Gay and Nick Folk are effectively tied for Week 8. Your open slot, bye coverage and how long you plan to keep the pickup should decide this one.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 2:05 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THE ALTERNATIVE

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

8.3FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

55.4%rostered on ESPN+2.87 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Nick Folk

K · ATL · vs TB

Stats & schedule ›

8.2FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

5.6%rostered on ESPN-0.06 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

This comparison needs more than the headline projection. Nick Folk is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a K vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 8.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 55.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 2.87 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.3 FP
ESPN: 10.0 FP
Sleeper: 8.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.6–18.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Nick Folk

Nick Folk projects for 8.2 Standard points against TB this week. His recent scoring average is 7.7 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 7.5%. He is rostered in 5.6% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.06 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.2 FP
ESPN: 8.2 FP
Sleeper: 7.5 FP
FantasyPros: 7.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 7.8 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.1–15.1 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 1:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Matt Gay	Nick Folk
Next 3 weeks	26.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	24.9 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	92.7 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	82.0 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	38.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	34.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Matt Gay	Nick Folk
Week 8	8.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection	8.2 FPvs TB
Week 9	9.7 FPvs SFHigher projection	8.4 FPvs CIN
Week 10	8.7 FPvs SEAHigher projection	8.3 FPvs KC
Week 11	9.0 FPvs DENHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	9.1 FPvs CLEHigher projection	7.1 FPvs MIN
Week 13	BYE	7.8 FPvs DETHigher projection
Week 14	9.6 FPvs LACHigher projection	8.0 FPvs CLE
Week 15	9.3 FPvs DENHigher projection	8.4 FPvs WAS
Week 16	10.4 FPvs TENHigher projection	9.2 FPvs TB
Week 17	9.7 FPvs ARIHigher projection	8.5 FPvs NO
Week 18	9.0 FPvs KCHigher projection	8.2 FPvs CAR

Outlook updated Oct 30, 2:09 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.8 FP11.1 FP

Will ReichardK · 93.2% rostered
10.1
Tyler BassK · 60.8% rostered
10.1
Chris BoswellK · 78.5% rostered
10.0
Brandon AubreyK · 96.3% rostered
9.8
Spencer ShraderK · 86.4% rostered
9.5

More K pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

K · Week 8