Who should I pick up: Josh Allen or Tyler Shough?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Josh Allen

If both are available and you need Week 9 points, pick up Josh Allen over Tyler Shough: 18.0 versus 16.9 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:34 AM ET · Common scoring preset

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

18.0FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Tyler Shough

QB · NO · vs CLE

Stats & schedule ›

16.9FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

66.5%rostered on ESPN-0.09 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Josh Allen is the stronger immediate points option. Tyler Shough is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Josh Allen

Josh Allen projects for 18.0 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.0 FP
ESPN: 19.9 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 21.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Tyler Shough

Tyler Shough projects for 16.9 Standard points against CLE this week. His recent scoring average is 20.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 66.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.09 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.9 FP
ESPN: 15.4 FP
Sleeper: 16.4 FP
FantasyPros: 17.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster data as of Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET / Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Josh Allen	Tyler Shough
Next 3 weeks	71.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	50.7 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	241.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	166.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	101.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	66.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Josh Allen	Tyler Shough
Week 9	18.0 FPvs MINHigher projection	16.9 FPvs CLE
Week 10	24.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection	17.0 FPvs CAR
Week 11	28.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection	16.8 FPvs CHI
Week 12	22.1 FPvs KCHigher projection	16.5 FPvs CIN
Week 13	23.8 FPvs NEHigher projection	15.5 FPvs GB
Week 14	22.3 FPvs GBHigher projection	16.7 FPvs CAR
Week 15	25.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection	14.6 FPvs TB
Week 16	22.5 FPvs DENHigher projection	21.4 FPvs ARI
Week 17	28.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	15.9 FPvs ATL
Week 18	25.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	14.8 FPvs TB

Outlook updated Nov 3, 1:37 AM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

18.2 FP23.4 FP

Joe BurrowQB · 98.8% rostered
23.4
Brock PurdyQB · 98.0% rostered
22.8
Jared GoffQB · 90.0% rostered
20.6
Dak PrescottQB · 92.5% rostered
19.8
Patrick Mahomes IIQB · 89.5% rostered
19.3

What about Josh Allen versus these pickups?

QB · Week 9

Joe Burrow23.4projected FP

Josh Allen18.0projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 9

Brock Purdy22.8projected FP

Josh Allen18.0projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 9

Sam Darnold18.6projected FP

Josh Allen18.0projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 9

Josh Allen18.0projected FP

Malik Willis18.9projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB · Week 9