Who should I pick up: Jake Elliott or Matt Gay?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Matt Gay

If both are available and you need Week 8 points, pick up Matt Gay over Jake Elliott: 8.1 versus 5.9 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 31, 4:54 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THE ALTERNATIVE

Jake Elliott

K · PHI · vs WAS

Stats & schedule ›

5.9FF projected FP

Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET

6.0%rostered on ESPN-0.05 pp recent change

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Matt Gay

K · LV · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

56.0%rostered on ESPN+0.48 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Matt Gay is the stronger immediate points option. Jake Elliott is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a K vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Jake Elliott

Jake Elliott projects for 5.9 Standard points against WAS this week. His recent scoring average is 3.7 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 1.25%. He is rostered in 6.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.05 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 5.9 FP
ESPN: 5.5 FP
Sleeper: 6.6 FP
FantasyPros: 6.0 FP
FF median: 5.2 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.1 FP
Monte Carlo: 5.4 FP

FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 3.3–8.1 FP · middle 80%: 1.6–11.3 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 1.5–10.4 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Matt Gay

Matt Gay projects for 8.1 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 56.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.48 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.1 FP
ESPN: 10.0 FP
Sleeper: 8.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.7 FP
FF median: 7.1 FP
Boosted Trees: 6.7 FP
Monte Carlo: 9.9 FP

FF median: Experimental · middle 50%: 4.5–11.3 FP · middle 80%: 2.1–15.3 FP. Prospective coverage is collecting.
Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.6–18.8 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 31, 4:30 PM ET / Oct 31, 4:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jake Elliott	Matt Gay
Next 3 weeks	11.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	26.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	60.2 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	92.5 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	23.9 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	38.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Jake Elliott	Matt Gay
Week 8	5.9 FPvs WAS	8.1 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 9	5.6 FPvs NYG	9.7 FPvs SFHigher projection
Week 10	BYE	8.7 FPvs SEAHigher projection
Week 11	6.2 FPvs PIT	9.0 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 12	6.0 FPvs DAL	9.1 FPvs CLEHigher projection
Week 13	6.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	6.5 FPvs IND	9.6 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 15	5.5 FPvs SEA	9.3 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 16	6.3 FPvs HOU	10.4 FPvs TENHigher projection
Week 17	6.3 FPvs SF	9.7 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 18	5.7 FPvs NYG	9.0 FPvs KCHigher projection

Outlook updated Oct 31, 4:58 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

2.3 FP18.9 FP

Cam LittleK · 67.1% rostered
10.1
Brandon AubreyK · 96.4% rostered
9.9
Tyler BassK · 62.5% rostered
9.8
Chris BoswellK · 79.1% rostered
9.7
Evan McPhersonK · 22.4% rostered
9.2

What about Matt Gay versus these pickups?

K · Week 8

Chase McLaughlin8.9projected FP

Matt Gay8.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Jake Bates7.7projected FP

Matt Gay8.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Evan McPherson9.2projected FP

Matt Gay8.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Matt Gay8.1projected FP

Tyler Bass9.8projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More K pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

K · Week 8

Cam Little10.1projected FP