Who should I pick up: Drew Stevens or Wil Lutz?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Drew Stevens

If both are available and you need Week 8 points, pick up Drew Stevens over Wil Lutz: 8.1 versus 7.8 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Oct 30, 12:34 PM ET · Common scoring preset

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Drew Stevens

K · WAS · vs PHI

Stats & schedule ›

8.1FF projected FP

Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET

0.9%rostered on ESPN+0.09 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Wil Lutz

K · DEN · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

7.8FF projected FP

Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

5.0%rostered on ESPN+0.10 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Drew Stevens is the stronger immediate points option. Drew Stevens is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a K vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Drew Stevens

Drew Stevens projects for 8.1 Standard points against PHI this week. His recent scoring average is 7.0 FP. He is rostered in 0.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.09 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 8.1 FP
ESPN: 8.6 FP
Sleeper: 8.6 FP
FantasyPros: 7.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.9 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.5 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · conditional on availability · central 80%: 2.4–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Wil Lutz

Wil Lutz projects for 7.8 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 10.3 FP. He is rostered in 5.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.10 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 7.8 FP
ESPN: 8.4 FP
Sleeper: 7.1 FP
FantasyPros: 6.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 8.3 FP
Monte Carlo: 8.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Monte Carlo: Experimental · central 80%: 2.5–15.9 FP · saved Oct 28, 9:16 PM ET

Roster data as of Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET / Oct 30, 12:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Drew Stevens	Wil Lutz
Next 3 weeks	23.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	15.9 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	88.5 FPHigher projection11/11 scheduled games projected	82.4 FP10/10 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	31.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	33.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Drew Stevens	Wil Lutz
Week 8	8.1 FPvs PHIHigher projection	7.8 FPvs KC
Week 9	8.0 FPvs LAR	8.2 FPvs CARHigher projection
Week 10	7.6 FPvs NYGHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	8.3 FPvs CIN	8.3 FPvs LV
Week 12	8.2 FPvs ARI	8.6 FPvs PITHigher projection
Week 13	8.5 FPvs TENHigher projection	8.4 FPvs MIA
Week 14	8.2 FPvs HOU	8.2 FPvs NYJ
Week 15	8.2 FPvs ATL	8.2 FPvs LV
Week 16	7.0 FPvs MIN	8.5 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 17	7.9 FPvs JAC	8.1 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 18	8.4 FPvs DALHigher projection	8.2 FPvs LAC

Outlook updated Oct 30, 12:46 PM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · K

More options. The same scale.

FF–Monte Carlo midpoint order within this pickup pool. The window connects two estimates; it is not a confidence interval. Rankings may differ from the FF points-only call above.

8.9 FP11.1 FP

Will ReichardK · 93.2% rostered
10.2
Tyler BassK · 60.7% rostered
10.1
Chris BoswellK · 78.5% rostered
10.1
Brandon AubreyK · 96.3% rostered
9.8
Spencer ShraderK · 86.4% rostered
9.6

What about Drew Stevens versus these pickups?

K · Week 8

Drew Stevens8.1projected FP

Jason Myers8.6projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Drew Stevens8.1projected FP

Jason Sanders7.9projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Nick Folk8.2projected FP

Drew Stevens8.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗K · Week 8

Drew Stevens8.1projected FP

Tyler Loop8.0projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More K pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

K · Week 8