Who should I pick up: Baker Mayfield or Gardner Minshew II?

The claim now. The weeks ahead. Make room for the right player.

Reception scoring does not change these projections. One comparison covers PPR, Half-PPR and Standard.

THE PICKUP CALL

For this week: Baker Mayfield

If both are available and you need Week 9 points, pick up Baker Mayfield over Gardner Minshew II: 12.1 versus 9.6 projected FP. A longer-term hold can be a different decision; compare the outlook below before choosing who to drop.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:34 AM ET · Common scoring preset

THIS-WEEK PICKUP

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · vs CHI

Stats & schedule ›

12.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

26.2%rostered on ESPN-0.02 pp recent change

THE ALTERNATIVE

Gardner Minshew II

QB · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

9.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Gardner Minshew II FAAB guide ↗

0.0%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS PICKUP?

Fit the move to the job.

Baker Mayfield is the stronger immediate points option. Gardner Minshew II is more widely available across ESPN leagues, but league-wide ownership cannot tell us who is available in yours. For a QB vacancy, compare the immediate matchup with the weeks you actually need covered. A rising roster percentage can explain interest in a player; it does not increase his projected score. If you must drop someone, check the full roster in GamePlan before making the claim.

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield projects for 12.1 Standard points against CHI this week. His recent scoring average is 4.0 FP. He is rostered in 26.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.1 FP
ESPN: 13.2 FP
Sleeper: 14.4 FP
FantasyPros: 14.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Gardner Minshew II

Gardner Minshew II projects for 9.6 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 9.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 0.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 9.6 FP
ESPN: 10.7 FP
Sleeper: 9.5 FP
FantasyPros: 10.9 FP

Roster data as of Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET / Nov 2, 10:30 PM ET. Recent change uses ESPN’s reported field; its lookback window is not specified. Saved model estimates are supporting evidence, not independent votes.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

Future FF estimates are separate from the current-week pickup call. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Baker Mayfield	Gardner Minshew II
Next 3 weeks	27.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	32.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	110.0 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	119.3 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	47.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	57.0 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly pickup outlook

Week	Baker Mayfield	Gardner Minshew II
Week 9	12.1 FPvs CHIHigher projection	9.6 FPvs SEA
Week 10	BYE	11.7 FPvs LARHigher projection
Week 11	15.1 FPvs DETHigher projection	11.2 FPvs KC
Week 12	12.2 FPvs CAR	16.3 FPvs WASHigher projection
Week 13	11.6 FPvs LAC	13.6 FPvs PHIHigher projection
Week 14	11.7 FPvs BALHigher projection	BYE
Week 15	12.9 FPvs NO	14.2 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 16	11.1 FPvs ATL	14.2 FPvs NOHigher projection
Week 17	10.7 FPvs LAR	16.1 FPvs LVHigher projection
Week 18	12.7 FPvs NOHigher projection	12.4 FPvs SF

Outlook updated Nov 3, 2:42 AM ET. Health and roles can change.

PICKUP RANKINGS · QB

More options. The same scale.

FF expected-points order within this pickup pool, with higher FF-minus-ESPN margin breaking displayed ties. Available model ranges provide context.

18.2 FP23.4 FP

Joe BurrowQB · 98.8% rostered
23.4
Brock PurdyQB · 98.0% rostered
22.8
Jared GoffQB · 90.0% rostered
20.6
Dak PrescottQB · 92.5% rostered
19.8
Patrick Mahomes IIQB · 89.5% rostered
19.3

What about Baker Mayfield versus these pickups?

QB · Week 9

Tanner McKee12.1projected FP

Baker Mayfield12.1projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 9

Baker Mayfield12.1projected FP

Justin Herbert12.3projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 9

Baker Mayfield12.1projected FP

Geno Smith13.0projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗QB · Week 9

Baker Mayfield12.1projected FP

Michael Penix Jr.14.6projected FP

Compare the pickups ↗

More QB pickup decisions

Recorded comparison interest informs the order where available, followed by nearby projected options. These are not claims that both players are free agents in your league.

QB · Week 9