Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Patrick Mahomes II?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence retains a 29.8 FP remaining-schedule advantage. Patrick Mahomes II leads this week by 0.1 FP, but a short-term fill-in does not justify losing the stronger projected hold. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:34 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAC · vs BAL

Stats & schedule ›

19.2FF projected FP

Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

91.9%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Trevor Lawrence is 91.9% rostered; Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence projects for 19.2 Standard points against BAL this week. His recent scoring average is 23.4 FP. He is rostered in 91.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.2 FP
ESPN: 20.4 FP
Sleeper: 19.1 FP
FantasyPros: 19.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Trevor Lawrence	Patrick Mahomes II
Next 3 weeks	62.8 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	59.2 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	217.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	187.3 FP10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	92.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	74.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Trevor Lawrence	Patrick Mahomes II
Week 9	19.2 FPvs BAL	19.3 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 10	22.0 FPvs TENHigher projection	17.3 FPvs ATL
Week 11	21.5 FPvs NYG	22.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	22.5 FPvs TENHigher projection	19.0 FPvs BUF
Week 13	20.8 FPvs CHIHigher projection	16.4 FPvs LAR
Week 14	18.8 FPvs PITHigher projection	18.2 FPvs CIN
Week 15	20.9 FPvs HOUHigher projection	18.2 FPvs NE
Week 16	24.8 FPvs DALHigher projection	17.5 FPvs SF
Week 17	24.7 FPvs WASHigher projection	17.6 FPvs LAC
Week 18	21.9 FPvs INDHigher projection	21.2 FPvs LV