Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Geno Smith?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Geno Smith is behind by 1.6 FP this week, ahead by 5.2 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 0.4 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:34 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs CIN

Stats & schedule ›

14.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

18.6%rostered on ESPN-0.02 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Michael Penix Jr. is 18.6% rostered; Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Michael Penix Jr.

Michael Penix Jr. projects for 14.6 Standard points against CIN this week. His recent scoring average is 13.9 FP. He is rostered in 18.6% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 14.6 FP
ESPN: 15.8 FP
Sleeper: 14.8 FP
FantasyPros: 15.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 14.7 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Michael Penix Jr.	Geno Smith
Next 3 weeks	27.6 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	43.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	131.5 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	136.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	61.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	61.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Michael Penix Jr.	Geno Smith
Week 9	14.6 FPvs CINHigher projection	13.0 FPvs KC
Week 10	13.0 FPvs KC	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 11	BYE	14.2 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 12	10.5 FPvs MIN	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 13	19.0 FPvs DETHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	13.3 FPvs CLE	13.9 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 15	17.5 FPvs WAS	19.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 16	12.7 FPvs TB	14.7 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 17	16.1 FPvs NOHigher projection	11.9 FPvs MIN
Week 18	14.7 FPvs CAR	15.7 FPvs BUFHigher projection