Should I drop Kyler Murray for Josh Allen?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Josh Allen for Kyler Murray

Josh Allen leads by 1.9 FP this week, 81.3 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Kyler Murray. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team. Kyler Murray is questionable; an injury designation alone is not a reason to drop him.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:34 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Kyler Murray

QB · MIN · vs BUF

Stats & schedule ›

16.1FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

Check current availability

60.1%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

18.0FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Kyler Murray is 60.1% rostered; Josh Allen is 99.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray projects for 16.1 Standard points against BUF this week. His recent scoring average is 16.9 FP. He is rostered in 60.1% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. His injury designation needs monitoring; it does not by itself justify dropping him. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.1 FP
ESPN: 17.6 FP
Sleeper: 16.3 FP
FantasyPros: 17.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Josh Allen

Josh Allen projects for 18.0 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.0 FP
ESPN: 19.9 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 21.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Kyler Murray	Josh Allen
Next 3 weeks	43.8 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	71.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	159.7 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	241.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	70.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	101.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Kyler Murray	Josh Allen
Week 9	16.1 FPvs BUF	18.0 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 10	13.8 FPvs GB	24.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 11	13.9 FPvs SF	28.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 12	14.7 FPvs ATL	22.1 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 13	16.0 FPvs CAR	23.8 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 14	14.6 FPvs NE	22.3 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 15	20.2 FPvs DET	25.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 16	18.8 FPvs WAS	22.5 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 17	15.8 FPvs NYJ	28.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 18	15.9 FPvs CHI	25.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection