Should I drop Justin Herbert for Josh Allen?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Josh Allen for Justin Herbert

Josh Allen leads by 5.7 FP this week, 117.9 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Justin Herbert. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · vs HOU

Stats & schedule ›

12.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

34.4%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

18.0FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Justin Herbert is 34.4% rostered; Josh Allen is 99.9% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert projects for 12.3 Standard points against HOU this week. His recent scoring average is 8.3 FP. He is rostered in 34.4% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.3 FP
ESPN: 12.5 FP
Sleeper: 13.3 FP
FantasyPros: 14.4 FP
Boosted Trees: 12.5 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Josh Allen

Josh Allen projects for 18.0 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.0 FP
ESPN: 19.9 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 21.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Justin Herbert	Josh Allen
Next 3 weeks	37.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	71.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	123.1 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	241.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	48.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	101.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Justin Herbert	Josh Allen
Week 9	12.3 FPvs HOU	18.0 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 10	12.2 FPvs BAL	24.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection
Week 11	13.1 FPvs NYJ	28.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 12	12.3 FPvs NE	22.1 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 13	10.5 FPvs TB	23.8 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 14	14.5 FPvs LV	22.3 FPvs GBHigher projection
Week 15	11.6 FPvs SF	25.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection
Week 16	14.7 FPvs MIA	22.5 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 17	11.0 FPvs KC	28.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 18	11.0 FPvs DEN	25.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection