Should I drop Josh Allen for Sam Darnold?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Josh Allen

Josh Allen retains a 109.1 FP remaining-schedule advantage. Sam Darnold leads this week by 0.5 FP, but a short-term fill-in does not justify losing the stronger projected hold. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · vs MIN

Stats & schedule ›

18.0FF projected FP

Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET

99.9%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

18.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

30.8%rostered on ESPN+0.14 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Josh Allen is 99.9% rostered; Sam Darnold is 30.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Josh Allen

Josh Allen projects for 18.0 Standard points against MIN this week. His recent scoring average is 22.4 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 10%. He is rostered in 99.9% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.0 FP
ESPN: 19.9 FP
Sleeper: 21.0 FP
FantasyPros: 21.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 19.9 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 18.6 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 30.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.6 FP
ESPN: 15.7 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 17.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Josh Allen	Sam Darnold
Next 3 weeks	71.6 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	35.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	241.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	131.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	101.2 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	51.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Josh Allen	Sam Darnold
Week 9	18.0 FPvs MIN	18.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 10	24.9 FPvs NYJHigher projection	16.6 FPvs LV
Week 11	28.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	22.1 FPvs KCHigher projection	12.7 FPvs SF
Week 13	23.8 FPvs NEHigher projection	17.5 FPvs DAL
Week 14	22.3 FPvs GBHigher projection	14.8 FPvs NYG
Week 15	25.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection	13.6 FPvs PHI
Week 16	22.5 FPvs DENHigher projection	12.4 FPvs LAR
Week 17	28.2 FPvs MIAHigher projection	13.8 FPvs CAR
Week 18	25.4 FPvs NYJHigher projection	12.0 FPvs LAR