Should I drop Joe Burrow for Geno Smith?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow retains a 96.2 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs ATL

Stats & schedule ›

23.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

98.8%rostered on ESPN-0.01 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Joe Burrow is 98.8% rostered; Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow projects for 23.4 Standard points against ATL this week. His recent scoring average is 34.2 FP. He is rostered in 98.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 23.4 FP
ESPN: 21.3 FP
Sleeper: 19.9 FP
FantasyPros: 20.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 22.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Joe Burrow	Geno Smith
Next 3 weeks	71.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	43.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	232.9 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	136.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	93.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	61.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Joe Burrow	Geno Smith
Week 9	23.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	13.0 FPvs KC
Week 10	21.4 FPvs PITHigher projection	16.1 FPvs BUF
Week 11	26.7 FPvs WASHigher projection	14.2 FPvs LAC
Week 12	24.7 FPvs NOHigher projection	18.1 FPvs MIA
Week 13	21.9 FPvs CLEHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	21.4 FPvs KCHigher projection	13.9 FPvs DEN
Week 15	23.5 FPvs CARHigher projection	19.0 FPvs ARI
Week 16	24.2 FPvs INDHigher projection	14.7 FPvs NE
Week 17	23.5 FPvs BALHigher projection	11.9 FPvs MIN
Week 18	22.3 FPvs CLEHigher projection	15.7 FPvs BUF