Should I drop Joe Burrow for Baker Mayfield?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow retains a 122.9 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs ATL

Stats & schedule ›

23.4FF projected FP

Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET

98.8%rostered on ESPN-0.01 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · vs CHI

Stats & schedule ›

12.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

26.2%rostered on ESPN-0.02 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Joe Burrow is 98.8% rostered; Baker Mayfield is 26.2% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow projects for 23.4 Standard points against ATL this week. His recent scoring average is 34.2 FP. He is rostered in 98.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.01 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 23.4 FP
ESPN: 21.3 FP
Sleeper: 19.9 FP
FantasyPros: 20.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 22.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield projects for 12.1 Standard points against CHI this week. His recent scoring average is 4.0 FP. He is rostered in 26.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.1 FP
ESPN: 13.2 FP
Sleeper: 14.8 FP
FantasyPros: 14.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Joe Burrow	Baker Mayfield
Next 3 weeks	71.5 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	27.3 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	232.9 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	110.0 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	93.5 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	47.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Joe Burrow	Baker Mayfield
Week 9	23.4 FPvs ATLHigher projection	12.1 FPvs CHI
Week 10	21.4 FPvs PITHigher projection	BYE
Week 11	26.7 FPvs WASHigher projection	15.1 FPvs DET
Week 12	24.7 FPvs NOHigher projection	12.2 FPvs CAR
Week 13	21.9 FPvs CLEHigher projection	11.6 FPvs LAC
Week 14	21.4 FPvs KCHigher projection	11.7 FPvs BAL
Week 15	23.5 FPvs CARHigher projection	12.9 FPvs NO
Week 16	24.2 FPvs INDHigher projection	11.1 FPvs ATL
Week 17	23.5 FPvs BALHigher projection	10.7 FPvs LAR
Week 18	22.3 FPvs CLEHigher projection	12.7 FPvs NO