Should I drop Jared Goff for Patrick Mahomes II?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Patrick Mahomes II is behind by 1.3 FP this week, ahead by 10.2 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 6.9 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Jared Goff

QB · DET · vs MIA

Stats & schedule ›

20.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

90.0%rostered on ESPN-0.06 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Patrick Mahomes II

QB · KC · vs NYJ

Stats & schedule ›

19.3FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

89.5%rostered on ESPN-0.04 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Jared Goff is 90.0% rostered; Patrick Mahomes II is 89.5% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Jared Goff

Jared Goff projects for 20.6 Standard points against MIA this week. His recent scoring average is 13.5 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 5%. He is rostered in 90.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.06 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 20.6 FP
ESPN: 19.4 FP
Sleeper: 18.2 FP
FantasyPros: 18.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 21.3 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Patrick Mahomes II

Patrick Mahomes II projects for 19.3 Standard points against NYJ this week. His recent scoring average is 14.0 FP. He is rostered in 89.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.04 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.3 FP
ESPN: 18.2 FP
Sleeper: 20.8 FP
FantasyPros: 19.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Jared Goff	Patrick Mahomes II
Next 3 weeks	54.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	59.2 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	177.0 FP10/10 scheduled games projected	187.3 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected
Weeks 15–18	67.5 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	74.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Jared Goff	Patrick Mahomes II
Week 9	20.6 FPvs MIAHigher projection	19.3 FPvs NYJ
Week 10	17.8 FPvs NEHigher projection	17.3 FPvs ATL
Week 11	16.2 FPvs TB	22.6 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 12	18.5 FPvs CHI	19.0 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 13	17.1 FPvs ATLHigher projection	16.4 FPvs LAR
Week 14	19.4 FPvs TENHigher projection	18.2 FPvs CIN
Week 15	13.8 FPvs MIN	18.2 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 16	18.9 FPvs NYGHigher projection	17.5 FPvs SF
Week 17	18.2 FPvs CHIHigher projection	17.6 FPvs LAC
Week 18	16.6 FPvs GB	21.2 FPvs LVHigher projection