Should I drop Gardner Minshew II for Geno Smith?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: add Geno Smith for Gardner Minshew II

Geno Smith leads by 3.4 FP this week, 17.4 FP across the remaining schedule and does not meaningfully trail in the Weeks 15–18 forecast total. The projected outlook supports the swap if your roster can spare Gardner Minshew II. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Gardner Minshew II

QB · ARI · vs SEA

Stats & schedule ›

9.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

Planning a bid? Gardner Minshew II FAAB guide ↗

0.0%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Gardner Minshew II is 0.0% rostered; Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Gardner Minshew II

Gardner Minshew II projects for 9.6 Standard points against SEA this week. His recent scoring average is 9.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 0.0% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 9.6 FP
ESPN: 10.7 FP
Sleeper: 9.5 FP
FantasyPros: 10.9 FP

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 2, 10:30 PM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Gardner Minshew II	Geno Smith
Next 3 weeks	32.5 FP3/3 scheduled games projected	43.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	119.3 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	136.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	57.0 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	61.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Gardner Minshew II	Geno Smith
Week 9	9.6 FPvs SEA	13.0 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 10	11.7 FPvs LAR	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 11	11.2 FPvs KC	14.2 FPvs LACHigher projection
Week 12	16.3 FPvs WAS	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 13	13.6 FPvs PHIHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	BYE	13.9 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 15	14.2 FPvs NYJ	19.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 16	14.2 FPvs NO	14.7 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 17	16.1 FPvs LVHigher projection	11.9 FPvs MIN
Week 18	12.4 FPvs SF	15.7 FPvs BUFHigher projection