Should I drop Dak Prescott for Sam Darnold?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott retains a 29.0 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

PLAYER TO DROP

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs IND

Stats & schedule ›

19.8FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

92.5%rostered on ESPN-0.03 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · vs ARI

Stats & schedule ›

18.6FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET

30.8%rostered on ESPN+0.14 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Dak Prescott is 92.5% rostered; Sam Darnold is 30.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott projects for 19.8 Standard points against IND this week. His recent scoring average is 18.0 FP. He is rostered in 92.5% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.03 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 19.8 FP
ESPN: 19.1 FP
Sleeper: 18.4 FP
FantasyPros: 20.0 FP
Boosted Trees: 16.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold projects for 18.6 Standard points against ARI this week. His recent scoring average is 14.2 FP. The defensive matchup raises the FF estimate by 8.75%. He is rostered in 30.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.14 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 18.6 FP
ESPN: 15.7 FP
Sleeper: 17.9 FP
FantasyPros: 17.5 FP
Boosted Trees: 18.0 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Dak Prescott	Sam Darnold
Next 3 weeks	56.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	35.1 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Remaining regular-season schedule	160.9 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	131.9 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	72.8 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	51.7 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Dak Prescott	Sam Darnold
Week 9	19.8 FPvs INDHigher projection	18.6 FPvs ARI
Week 10	17.0 FPvs SFHigher projection	16.6 FPvs LV
Week 11	19.5 FPvs TENHigher projection	BYE
Week 12	17.9 FPvs PHIHigher projection	12.7 FPvs SF
Week 13	13.9 FPvs SEA	17.5 FPvs DALHigher projection
Week 14	BYE	14.8 FPvs NYGHigher projection
Week 15	15.8 FPvs LARHigher projection	13.6 FPvs PHI
Week 16	16.7 FPvs JACHigher projection	12.4 FPvs LAR
Week 17	19.0 FPvs NYGHigher projection	13.8 FPvs CAR
Week 18	21.3 FPvs WASHigher projection	12.0 FPvs LAR