Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Geno Smith?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

Lean: keep C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud retains a 31.3 FP remaining-schedule advantage. The current-week projection also gives no clear reason to make this drop. Check for a lower-cost roster spot if you need coverage. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 1:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · vs LAC

Stats & schedule ›

16.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET

67.8%rostered on ESPN-0.11 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

C.J. Stroud is 67.8% rostered; Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud projects for 16.1 Standard points against LAC this week. His recent scoring average is 19.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 2.5%. He is rostered in 67.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.11 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 16.1 FP
ESPN: 16.8 FP
Sleeper: 14.7 FP
FantasyPros: 16.7 FP
Boosted Trees: 17.1 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	C.J. Stroud	Geno Smith
Next 3 weeks	49.9 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected	43.3 FP3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	168.0 FPHigher projection10/10 scheduled games projected	136.7 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	66.1 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected	61.4 FP4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	C.J. Stroud	Geno Smith
Week 9	16.1 FPvs LACHigher projection	13.0 FPvs KC
Week 10	15.7 FPvs CLE	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 11	18.1 FPvs INDHigher projection	14.2 FPvs LAC
Week 12	16.9 FPvs BAL	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 13	15.1 FPvs PITHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	20.0 FPvs WASHigher projection	13.9 FPvs DEN
Week 15	15.9 FPvs JAC	19.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 16	16.5 FPvs PHIHigher projection	14.7 FPvs NE
Week 17	15.3 FPvs GBHigher projection	11.9 FPvs MIN
Week 18	18.4 FPvs TENHigher projection	15.7 FPvs BUF