Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Geno Smith?

One scoring page covers these positions; reception points do not affect this comparison.

THE DROP / ADD CALL

The right move depends on the weeks you need

Geno Smith is ahead by 0.9 FP this week, ahead by 26.7 FP across the remaining schedule, and ahead by 14.1 FP in Weeks 15–18. The horizons disagree or are too close for an unconditional drop. Use GamePlan to check your actual starters, bench depth and league playoff weeks. These are player forecast totals, not extra starter points or playoff-odds gains for your team.

Forecast updated Nov 3, 2:19 AM ET

THE WEEK 9 FILE · REST OF SEASONBraelon and the Jets.Hall’s return. Cooper’s target swing. The roles and routes behind your next Jets decision.Read the analysis ↗

PLAYER TO DROP

Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · vs CHI

Stats & schedule ›

12.1FF projected FP

Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

26.2%rostered on ESPN-0.02 pp recent change

PLAYER TO ADD

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs KC

Stats & schedule ›

13.0FF projected FP

Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET

32.8%rostered on ESPN0.00 pp recent change

WHY THIS MOVE?

A better week is only part of the decision.

Baker Mayfield is 26.2% rostered; Geno Smith is 32.8% rostered on ESPN. Ownership describes availability across leagues, not yours. Compare the weeks you need covered and the value you give up. A replacement can help now while weakening a later lineup.

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield projects for 12.1 Standard points against CHI this week. His recent scoring average is 4.0 FP. He is rostered in 26.2% of ESPN leagues, with a reported decline of 0.02 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 12.1 FP
ESPN: 13.2 FP
Sleeper: 14.4 FP
FantasyPros: 14.8 FP
Boosted Trees: 15.8 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Geno Smith

Geno Smith projects for 13.0 Standard points against KC this week. His recent scoring average is 17.8 FP. The defensive matchup reduces the FF estimate by 3.75%. He is rostered in 32.8% of ESPN leagues, with a reported gain of 0.00 percentage points. Roster trends measure manager activity, not a guarantee of playing time or availability in your league.

Fortified Fantasy: 13.0 FP
ESPN: 14.0 FP
Sleeper: 12.8 FP
FantasyPros: 13.9 FP
Boosted Trees: 11.4 FP

Boosted Trees: Experimental · saved Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET

Roster snapshot Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET. Saved models support the assessment; they are not independent votes. A full roster and league settings are needed to evaluate starter impact.

THE HOLD, NOT JUST THE CLAIM

What comes after this week?

The Drop / Add assessment uses the immediate and future FF outlook together. Totals describe the player, not extra points for your roster. Weeks 15–18 are a calendar view; your league’s playoff weeks may differ. Green highlights the higher displayed projection when both outlooks are known; ties and incomplete comparisons stay neutral.

Window	Baker Mayfield	Geno Smith
Next 3 weeks	27.2 FP2/2 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	43.3 FPHigher projection3/3 scheduled games projected
Remaining regular-season schedule	110.0 FP9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye	136.7 FPHigher projection9/9 scheduled games projected · 1 bye
Weeks 15–18	47.3 FP4/4 scheduled games projected	61.4 FPHigher projection4/4 scheduled games projected

Weekly Drop / Add outlook

Week	Baker Mayfield	Geno Smith
Week 9	12.1 FPvs CHI	13.0 FPvs KCHigher projection
Week 10	BYE	16.1 FPvs BUFHigher projection
Week 11	15.1 FPvs DETHigher projection	14.2 FPvs LAC
Week 12	12.2 FPvs CAR	18.1 FPvs MIAHigher projection
Week 13	11.6 FPvs LACHigher projection	BYE
Week 14	11.7 FPvs BAL	13.9 FPvs DENHigher projection
Week 15	12.9 FPvs NO	19.0 FPvs ARIHigher projection
Week 16	11.1 FPvs ATL	14.7 FPvs NEHigher projection
Week 17	10.7 FPvs LAR	11.9 FPvs MINHigher projection
Week 18	12.7 FPvs NO	15.7 FPvs BUFHigher projection