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Fortified Rankings.

WR · Week 9 · PPR

FORTIFIED RANKINGS · · WEEK 9 · PPR

WR. The bigger picture.

Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.

Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.

FF expected pointsMedian · when availableWindow: experimental middle 80%● ESPN● Sleeper● FantasyPros
72 shown · common FP scale
2.825.2
FF MEAN
  1. 1
    Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    25.2Expected FP
  2. 2
    Puka NacuaWR · LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    24.5Expected FP
  3. 3
    CeeDee LambWR · DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    21.1Expected FP
  4. 4
    Ja'Marr ChaseWR · CIN vs ATLSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
    20.6Expected FP
  5. 5
    Tee HigginsWR · CIN vs ATLSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
    20.5Expected FP
  6. 6
    Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    20.1Expected FP
  7. 7
    Malik NabersWR · NYG vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    19.2Expected FP
  8. 8
    Justin JeffersonWR · MIN vs BUFMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    17.9Expected FP
  9. 9
    Drake LondonWR · ATL vs CINSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
    17.2Expected FP
  10. 10
    Chris OlaveWR · NO vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    16.0Expected FP
  11. 11
    Christian WatsonWR · GB vs NESun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    15.7Expected FP
  12. 12
    Matthew GoldenWR · GB vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.7Expected FP
  13. 13
    Zay FlowersWR · BAL vs JACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.4Expected FP
  14. 14
    Luther Burden IIIWR · CHI vs TBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    15.3Expected FP
  15. 15
    Mike EvansWR · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    14.9Expected FP
  16. 16
    Rashee RiceWR · KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.7Expected FP
  17. 17
    George PickensWR · DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.5Expected FP
  18. 18
    Jameson WilliamsWR · DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.4Expected FP
  19. 19
    Nico CollinsWR · HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    14.1Expected FP
  20. 20
    Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.2Expected FP
  21. 21
    Parker WashingtonWR · JAC vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    13.0Expected FP
  22. 22
    Emeka EgbukaWR · TB vs CHISun 8:20 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.7Expected FP
  23. 23
    Garrett WilsonWR · NYJ vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.6Expected FP
  24. 24
    DeVonta SmithWR · PHI vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.5Expected FP
  25. 25
    A.J. BrownWR · NE vs GBSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.3Expected FP
  26. 26
    Jalen CokerWR · CAR vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.2Expected FP
  27. 27
    Michael WilsonWR · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    12.1Expected FP
  28. 28
    Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    12.0Expected FP
  29. 29
    Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC vs HOUSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  30. 30
    Stefon DiggsWR · WAS vs LARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  31. 31
    DJ MooreWR · BUF vs MINMon 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.7Expected FP
  32. 32
    Caleb DouglasWR · MIA vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  33. 33
    Malik WashingtonWR · MIA vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  34. 34
    Keenan AllenWR · IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  35. 35
    Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    11.4Expected FP
  36. 36
    Josh DownsWR · IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    11.0Expected FP
  37. 37
    Tre TuckerWR · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.9Expected FP
  38. 38
    Rome OdunzeWR · CHI vs TBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.7Expected FP
  39. 39
    Jordan AddisonWR · MIN vs BUFMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.5Expected FP
  40. 40
    Denzel BostonWR · CLE vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.3Expected FP
  41. 41
    Jakobi MeyersWR · JAC vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  42. 42
    KC Concepcion Jr.WR · CLE vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.2Expected FP
  43. 43
    Ryan FlournoyWR · DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  44. 44
    Xavier WorthyWR · KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    10.0Expected FP
  45. 45
    DeMario DouglasWR · NE vs GBSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.8Expected FP
  46. 46
    Devaughn VeleWR · NO vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.7Expected FP
  47. 47
    Courtland SuttonWR · DEN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  48. 48
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR · NYJ vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    9.0Expected FP
  49. 49
    Khalil ShakirWR · BUF vs MINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.9Expected FP
  50. 50
    Adonai MitchellWR · NYJ vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  51. 51
    Makai LemonWR · PHI vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.8Expected FP
  52. 52
    Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB vs CHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.4Expected FP
  53. 53
    Antonio WilliamsWR · WAS vs LARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.3Expected FP
  54. 54
    Treylon BurksWR · WAS vs LARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    8.0Expected FP
  55. 55
    Jahan DotsonWR · ATL vs CINSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailable
    7.8Expected FP
  56. 56
    Quentin JohnstonWR · LAC vs HOUSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.7Expected FP
  57. 57
    Malachi FieldsWR · NYG vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.5Expected FP
  58. 58
    Chris BellWR · MIA vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.4Expected FP
  59. 59
    Cooper KuppWR · SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    7.2Expected FP
  60. 60
    Tre' HarrisWR · LAC vs HOUSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.6Expected FP
  61. 61
    Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.4Expected FP
  62. 62
    Keon ColemanWR · BUF vs MINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  63. 63
    Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailable
    6.3Expected FP
  64. 64
    Kalif RaymondWR · CHI vs TBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailable
    6.2Expected FP
  65. 65
    Xavier HutchinsonWR · HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.7Expected FP
  66. 66
    Ja'Kobi LaneWR · BAL vs JACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  67. 67
    Savion WilliamsWR · GB vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.5Expected FP
  68. 68
    Kevin Coleman Jr.WR · MIA vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  69. 69
    Marvin Mims Jr.WR · DEN vs CARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.3Expected FP
  70. 70
    Efton Chism IIIWR · NE vs GBSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.2Expected FP
  71. 71
    Rashod BatemanWR · BAL vs JACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
  72. 72
    Jalen NailorWR · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailable
    5.1Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work

FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.

Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.

Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.

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