FORTIFIED FANTASY · YOUR OPTIONS, IN ORDER
Fortified Rankings.
TE · Week 9 · PPR
FORTIFIED RANKINGS · · WEEK 9 · PPR
TE. The bigger picture.
Ranked by FF expected points. Displayed ties favor the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin. Medians and ranges add context.
Max · PPR expected score above 5 FP. Displayed scores use your selected scoring.
- 1
Brock BowersTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 18.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 18.2Sleeper 18.8FantasyPros 17.218.6Expected FP - 2
George KittleTE · SF vs LVSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 17.0Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 15.9Sleeper 15.3FantasyPros 15.117.0Expected FP - 3
Trey McBrideTE · ARI vs SEASun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 15.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 14.3Sleeper 15.1FantasyPros 15.615.4Expected FP - 4
Colston LovelandTE · CHI vs TBSun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 11.1FantasyPros 12.212.9Expected FP - 5
Travis KelceTE · KC vs NYJSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.6Sleeper 13.3FantasyPros 12.712.4Expected FP - 6
Sam LaPortaTE · DET vs MIASun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.1Sleeper 13.4FantasyPros 12.912.4Expected FP - 7
Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE vs NOSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.3Sleeper 11.4FantasyPros 11.512.3Expected FP - 8
Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG vs PHISun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 12.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 12.7Sleeper 11.6FantasyPros 12.712.1Expected FP - 9
Tyler WarrenTE · IND vs DALSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 11.9Sleeper 13.2FantasyPros 13.211.8Expected FP - 10
Tucker KraftTE · GB vs NESun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.8Sleeper 11.8FantasyPros 11.711.7Expected FP - 11
T.J. HockensonTE · MIN vs BUFMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 11.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.7Sleeper 10.8FantasyPros 10.311.3Expected FP - 12
Kyle Pitts Sr.TE · ATL vs CINSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 10.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 10.1Sleeper 9.5FantasyPros 9.310.3Expected FP - 13
Greg DulcichTE · MIA vs DETSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.8Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 9.410.2Expected FP - 14
Brenton StrangeTE · JAC vs BALThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 10.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 10.210.1Expected FP - 15
Dallas GoedertTE · PHI vs NYGSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.9Sleeper 9.6FantasyPros 9.79.7Expected FP - 16
Mike GesickiTE · CIN vs ATLSun 9:30 AM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.1Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 8.69.5Expected FP - 17
Dalton KincaidTE · BUF vs MINMon 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.6Sleeper 9.8FantasyPros 9.89.5Expected FP - 18
Mason TaylorTE · NYJ vs KCSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 9.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 7.09.2Expected FP - 19
Hunter HenryTE · NE vs GBSun 4:25 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.8Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.6Sleeper 9.2FantasyPros 9.68.8Expected FP - 20
Michael MayerTE · LV vs SFSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.7Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 8.1FantasyPros 8.08.7Expected FP - 21
Colby ParkinsonTE · LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 8.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.4Sleeper 5.2FantasyPros 6.68.6Expected FP - 22
Dalton SchultzTE · HOU vs LACSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.4Sleeper 8.4FantasyPros 9.28.5Expected FP - 23
Chig OkonkwoTE · WAS vs LARSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 8.4Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 9.3Sleeper 8.2FantasyPros 8.28.4Expected FP - 24
AJ BarnerTE · SEA vs ARISun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.9Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.5Sleeper 8.0FantasyPros 7.87.9Expected FP - 25
Juwan JohnsonTE · NO vs CLESun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 7.2Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 7.3Sleeper 10.2FantasyPros 9.07.2Expected FP - 26
Tyler HigbeeTE · LAR vs WASSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 6.9FantasyPros 6.86.6Expected FP - 27
Darren WallerTE · CAR vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.8Sleeper 7.2FantasyPros 6.06.3Expected FP - 28
Mark AndrewsTE · BAL vs JACThu 8:15 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.3Sleeper 7.4FantasyPros 7.26.3Expected FP - 29
Eli RaridonTE · NE vs GBSun 4:25 PM ETRange unavailableMean 6.1Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 8.2Sleeper 5.1FantasyPros 5.96.1Expected FP - 30
Tommy TrembleTE · CAR vs DENSun 1:00 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.1Sleeper 4.2FantasyPros 4.65.6Expected FP - 31
Cade OttonTE · TB vs CHISun 8:20 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.6Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 6.0Sleeper 7.7FantasyPros 6.95.6Expected FP - 32
Oronde Gadsden IITE · LAC vs HOUSun 4:05 PM ETRange unavailableMean 5.5Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.7Sleeper 4.7FantasyPros 6.15.5Expected FP - 33
Jake FergusonTE · DAL vs INDSun 1:00 PM ETCheck availability · Range unavailableMean 5.3Range unavailableMedian unavailableESPN 5.3Sleeper 8.3FantasyPros 6.45.3Expected FP
How the forecast and ranges work
FF uses position-specific provider weights, rescored CBS and FFToday stats, and the existing bounded form, defense and metric adjustments. Saved Boosted Trees and Workload have bounded model influence when available. Monte Carlo supplies the distribution; it does not get a duplicate mean vote.
Every player is ranked by the FF expected score (mean), whether or not a simulation distribution is available. Equal displayed scores use the higher FF-minus-ESPN margin when both ESPN forecasts are known, then unrounded FF, a comparable FantasyPros/Sleeper estimate, and stable identity order if still level. This tiebreaker is not a measured probability of beating ESPN. The median marker is additional information and never changes the order. Missing or availability-conditional ranges do not switch the ranking statistic. The window shows the experimental middle 80% (P10–P90), rather than the difference between two model means. Its observed coverage under this new version is still collecting. Availability-conditional distributions are labeled and are not shifted to a different center.
Missing sources and incompatible scoring are excluded. Bye and confirmed unavailable players remain excluded. ESPN, Sleeper and FantasyPros are the benchmark markers. The common scale covers the displayed outcome windows and available benchmarks.
